PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 31 75.5%-14.0ptMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4206,4 €
Liquidität
3149,9 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
23.0% / 25.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
4. Sept. 26, 14:29 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Muse Spark 1.4+ (Meta) release date
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Muse Spark" and be designated as version 1.4 or higher, regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 1.4 or higher named in the same manner as Muse Spark 1.2 or Muse Spark 1.3 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Muse Spark 2, while models whose name does not include "Muse Spark" or which retain a version designation below 1.4, such as Muse Spark 1.3 (released September 2, 2026, including any of its reasoning modes, open-weight re-releases, rollouts, promotions, or snapshots), Muse Glimmer, or Muse Image, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $74,750 or above99%
- $72,000 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
+77 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 467.103,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 461.806 €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+21.0pt60.6%
- 140-159+13.1pt23.2%
- 180-199-24.0pt14.1%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above98%
- $73,000 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+4.0pt71.5%
- Before March 2027+3.0pt19%
- Before 2027+2.0pt4.3%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- October 31+5.7pt99%
- December 31+3.0pt99%
- September 15-8.9pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-1.0pt88%
- OpenAI+0.6pt9%
- Google+0.8pt3%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Best AI at the end of 2026?
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- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 10, 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- BTC price range on Sep 10, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Will Russia capture Bilytske by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet October 31 mit 76% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? entschieden?
- Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta's next Muse Spark model (1.4+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the specified date (ET).