Warnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 02:33 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Ja · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Ja 77%
Ja 77%Marktqualitat
21 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
115,9 €
Liquidität
606,2 €
Niedrige LiquiditätOpen Interest
129,5 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
JaSpread
—
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 26, 21:55 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Ja
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next Claude Fable model use encrypted compaction?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Fable released before Anthropic IPO?
Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Fable model (5.2+) is made available to the general public between market creation and the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether a qualifying model is made available to the general public between market creation and that date and time.
- A model made available to the general public on Anthropic's first trading day will qualify only if it is made available before Anthropic shares begin trading.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Fable" and be designated as version 5.2 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.2 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Fable 5 or Claude Fable 5.1 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Fable 6, while models whose name does not include "Fable" or which retain a version designation below 5.2, such as Claude Fable 5.1 or Claude Mythos 5.1, will not qualify.
