PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 99%+1.3ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
December 31 99%+1.3ptMarktqualitat
63 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
614,8 €
Liquidität
9212,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
1. Juli 26, 22:49 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
August 31Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
When will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku (4.6+) released on?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsNext Claude Haiku Model (4.6+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model is made available to the general public by the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
