PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 28 15%Führend unter 32 Optionen
October 28 15%Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1311 €
Liquidität
10.122,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
1. Okt. 26, 00:12 UTC1. Nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Claude Haiku (4.6+) released by which date?
PolymarketWhen will a new Claude Haiku be released (after 4.5)?
Manifold MarketsClaude Haiku dying in 3 months?
Manifold MarketsWill a new Claude Haiku model be released in October 2026?
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PolymarketWill a non-lab AI-only effort solve a Millennium Problem in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "Haiku" and be designated as version 4.6 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 4.6 or higher named in the same manner as Claude Haiku 4.5 would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Haiku 5, while models whose name does not include "Haiku" or which retain a version designation below 4.6, such as Claude Haiku 4.5, including any rollout, promotion, or snapshot of it, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
- The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website.
