New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by which date?
PolitikOne-OffUS-PolitikWahl7Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
June 30, · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
June 30, 61%Führend unter 3 Optionen
June 30, 61%Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
5374,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
650,4 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
June 30,Spread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 30 Minuten
5. Nov. 26, 02:12 UTC1. Juli 27, 03:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
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Quelle: Polymarket
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- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · June 30,
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the 120th United States Senate confirms any individual nominated by President Trump to a Cabinet-level position or as a Supreme Court justice, a federal appeals court judge, or a federal district court judge (including the district courts of Guam, the Northern Mariana Islands, and the U.S. Virgin Islands) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, the Cabinet includes the Vice President, the heads of the 15 executive departments, as well as the Administrator of the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA), the President's Chief of Staff, the Director of National Intelligence (DNI), the Director of the Office of Management and Budget (OMB), the Director of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA), the United States Trade Representative (USTR), the Ambassador to the United Nations, the Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), and the Administrator of the Small Business Administration (SBA).
- Acting officials serving in these roles are not included.
- The Director of the Office of Science and Technology Policy (OSTP) is not considered Cabinet-level under the current Trump administration and is excluded from this market.
- Confirmation of a Vice President under the Twenty-Fifth Amendment will qualify.