PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 30.10.2026, 10:37 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Ja · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
Ja 95%
Ja 95%Marktqualitat
21 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
8,8 €
Liquidität
1244,4 €
Niedrige LiquiditätOpen Interest
246,5 $
Geld / Brief
— / —
JaSpread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet28. Okt. 26, 21:56 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · Ja
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released before Anthropic IPO?
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Manifold Marketstop model on artificial analysis is a anthropic model by the end of the month?
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Manifold MarketsNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic makes a new AI model available to the general public between market creation and the moment Anthropic shares begin trading on their first trading day.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- If Anthropic has not completed an IPO by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on whether a qualifying model is made available to the general public between market creation and that date and time.
- A model made available to the general public on Anthropic's first trading day will qualify only if it is made available before Anthropic shares begin trading.
- A qualifying model must be a new Anthropic AI model whose name or version designation had not been announced or released before market creation, such as Claude Fable 5.2, Claude Opus 5.6, Claude Sonnet 5.6, or Claude Haiku 5.6, including a new whole-number generation such as Claude Opus 6 or a model in a new family.
- Models that retain the name and version designation of a model announced or released before market creation, such as Claude Fable 5.1, Claude Opus 5.5, Claude Sonnet 5.5, Claude Haiku 5.5, or Claude Mythos 5.1, including any rollout, promotion, snapshot, or expansion of access to them, will not qualify.