PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Republican Party 93%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
12,3 €
Liquidität
30.412 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 21:363. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi — IA-04 House winner? · Chris McGowan 90%
Offene Märkte
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.0pt18.9%
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.2%
+44 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 163 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 919.267,4 €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+0.9pt23%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt14%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt11%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt23%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt15%
- Jon Ossoff-0.1pt15%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- Golf / Golfer / Golfing99%
- Sleepy Joe99%
- Kamala99%
+28 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 582.097,1 €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+4.0pt63.3%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt28.4%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 12,7 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance47%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
+125 weitere Ergebnisse
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für IA-04 House Election Winner?
- Polymarket bewertet Republican Party mit 93% (Stand: 24. August 2026).
- Wann wird IA-04 House Election Winner entschieden?
- IA-04 House Election Winner soll am 3. November 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird IA-04 House Election Winner abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Wo wird IA-04 House Election Winner außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.