PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitRepublican Party 93%-1.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
3921 €
Liquidität
47.290,3 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 7.0%
Spread
16.7%
Breiter Spread7d-Änderung
+1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten
28. Jan. 26, 21:363. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Republican Party93%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
IA-04 House winner?
1J
12%
96%
40 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung
Gesamtvolumen6691,7 €
24h-Volumen0 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Presidential Election Winner 2028
659.040,6 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
99.132,6 €James Fishback: 5%KALSHI
KALSHI
Colorado Republican Governor nominee?
50.730,9 €Barbara Kirkmeyer: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
California Governor winner?
43.245 €Steve Hilton: 8%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Senate and Governor elections will Republicans win in states won by Kamala?
7869,3 €2: 46%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
MO-01 Democratic Primary Winner
3185,8 €Cori Bush: 59%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.