KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Chris McGowan 90.3%Margenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
3235,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.3% / 9.9%
Spread
4.6 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 29 Minuten
7. Jan. 26, 1:073. Nov. 27, 15:00
Trends
Regeln
If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
- Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket — IA-04 House Election Winner · Republican Party 93%
Offene Märkte
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POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für IA-04 House winner??
- Kalshi bewertet Chris McGowan mit 90% (Stand: 24. August 2026).
- Wann wird IA-04 House winner? entschieden?
- IA-04 House winner? soll am 3. November 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird IA-04 House winner? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the House member sworn in for IA-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird IA-04 House winner? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.