Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 95%-0.7pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
7871,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.2% / 5.3%
Spread
0.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
5
7d-Änderung
+1.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
13. Aug. 26, 17:21 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be taken and released within this market's timeframe.
- The images or video must be authentic.
- Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, digitally altered content, AI-generated media, staged reproductions, or any posthumous releases will not qualify.
- Digital appearances, including live broadcasts, will count for this market.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-1.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)+2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.4pt2%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,4 Mio. €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt16%
- Tucker Carlson4%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 614,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 191 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+3.0pt88.1%
- Republican Party-2.0pt11.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 27,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 589.877,4 €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No-2.5pt92%
- Yes+2.5pt8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 554.778 €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom-0.1pt16%
- Jon Ossoff+0.3pt16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Nebraska Senate winner?
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- Will the SAVE Act become law?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- Texas Senate winner?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 95% (Stand: 17. September 2026).
- Wann wird Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? entschieden?
- Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Hu Jintao public appearance by December 31? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Former President of the People's Republic of China, Hu Jintao, is photographed or videotaped between market creation and the listed date (Beijing Time).