Conservatives flip Liberals for Canada Seats Polls in 2026?
0.1 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikWahlGeopolitikChessSport3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 96%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
9692,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
3.1% / 5.5%
Spread
2.4 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+0.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
25. März 26, 16:55 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, between the Liberal Party of Canada (LPC) and the Conservative Party of Canada (CPC), the CPC becomes the favorite in the "338Canada Seat Projection" (https://338canada.com/federal.htm#projection) at any published data point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Equal seat projections will not qualify; the CPC must have a strictly higher seat projection than the LPC.
- Confidence intervals will not be considered; only the main seat projection number will be used.
- Revisions indicating a qualifying projection that are released within this market’s timeframe will be considered, but will not invalidate a previously released data point that resolved the market.
- Revisions published after the specified timeframe will not be considered.