PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 97%+0.1pt
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
211,1 €
Liquidität
15.027,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.9% / 3.3%
Spread
1.4 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
8
7d-Änderung
-0.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
21. Apr. 26, 18:19 UTC30. Sept. 26, 00:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Christopher Luxon lead the NZ National Party to the next election (probably 2026)?
Manifold MarketsWill Christopher Luxon still be Prime Minister of New Zealand when the 2026 general election is held?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWhich leaders will leave office in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Christopher Luxon's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be official information from Christopher Luxon and the government of New Zealand; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Offene Märkte
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+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Christopher Luxon out by September 30??
- Polymarket bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Christopher Luxon out by September 30? entschieden?
- Christopher Luxon out by September 30? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Christopher Luxon out by September 30? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Christopher Luxon ceases to be Prime Minister of New Zealand for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET).