PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2027 27%
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
17,4 €
Liquidität
13.867 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
6.0% / 48.0%
Spread
42.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
1
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
17. Sept. 26, 17:12 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Armenia formally apply for EU membership by December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsCanada submits formal application for EU membership before January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsWill the next change in NATO membership result in an increase in the number of members?
Manifold MarketsCanada becomes EU Associate Member by which date?
PolymarketCanada admitted to the EU before 2029?
PolymarketWill the United States impose additional tariffs on EU by December 31, 2026?
ForecastExRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Government of Canada formally submits an application for Canada to become an EU member state to the European Union by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A formal application means a written request for Canada to become a member state of the European Union The application must be submitted by the Government of Canada or by a representative acting with its authority.
- An application will qualify even if it seeks or anticipates opt-outs, exemptions, or transition periods on specific European Union policies.
- A request, proposal, negotiation, or agreement concerning associate membership, an "Alliance for the Future" or other partnership, an association agreement, a framework agreement, membership in the European Economic Area, a customs union, or any other status short of membership will not qualify.
- Statements of intent, expressions of interest, exploratory talks, parliamentary motions, petitions, and proposals or invitations from the European Union or any of its member states will not qualify.
