PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJa 39%
Marktqualitat
49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
0 €
Liquidität
18.286,6 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
38.0% / 39.0%
Spread
2.6%
Enger Spread7d-Änderung
+2.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 0:5330. Nov. 26, 0:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Yes39%
CoinRithm-Referenz37%· 2 Plattformen· ±2 Pkt.
JaNein
KALSHI
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Blue tsunami in 2026?
3.0%6Mon
-3.0%37%
63%
64 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen215.324 €
24h-Volumen1078,6 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$103. Juli4T Daten6. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
1,3 Mio. €Gavin Newsom: 18%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
279.473,6 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Maine Senate Election Winner
126.487 €Democrat: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Republican presidential nominee
105.679,6 €Ivanka Trump: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
26.543,6 €At least 1%: 60%KALSHI
KALSHI
How many House seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?
6341,8 €228-232: 3%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats hold 235 or more seats in the House - Democrats hold 51 or more seats in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
- The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueTsunami.pdf