PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Ja 50.5%-1.0pt
Marktqualitat
≤49 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
140,3 €
Liquidität
1635,9 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
50.0% / 51.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
+3.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
14. Jan. 26, 00:53 UTC5. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- - Democrats have a seat count of 235 or more in the House - Democrats have a seat count of 51 or more in the Senate
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- The Senate seat count includes all regular and special Senate elections that determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress and are scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026.
- Vacant Senate seats for which no election or special election to fill the seat is scheduled to take place in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026 will be treated as held by the party affiliation of the most recent member to hold that seat.
- The House seat count includes all House elections in the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th Congress.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
2 Handelsplätze bepreisen diesen Markt derzeit. Die liquiditätsgewichtete Referenzwahrscheinlichkeit von CoinRithm für CoinRithm-Referenz liegt bei 45%. Die Kurse liegen rund 6 Prozentpunkte auseinander.
CoinRithm-Referenz 45% · 2 Plattformen · 6 Pkt. Venue-Spanne
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff+0.1pt17%
- Gavin Newsom16%
+48 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,1 Mrd. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,7 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.5%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 193,6 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt91%
- Republican Party-0.8pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 29,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 506.389,7 €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro+24.8pt58.8%
- Delcy Rodríguez-27.5pt40.2%
- No Head of State+0.3pt1%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Third Term99%
+34 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 843.420,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 407.986,3 €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep60.2%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt29.6%
- Republicans sweep-1.6pt9.2%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 14,8 Mio. €
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Blue tsunami in 2026??
- Polymarket bewertet Yes mit 51% (Stand: 21. September 2026).
- Wann wird Blue tsunami in 2026? entschieden?
- Blue tsunami in 2026? soll am 5. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Blue tsunami in 2026? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Wo wird Blue tsunami in 2026? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Kalshi gelistet.