PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
November 30 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
November 30 13%
November 30 13%Marktqualitat
30 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
146,5 €
Liquidität
961,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätOpen Interest
1139,4 $
Geld / Brief
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November 30Spread
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Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Minuten
3. Nov. 26, 21:28 UTC1. Dez. 26, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · November 30
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
OpenAI reports another AI sandbox escape by which date?
PolymarketFAA outage attributed to an AI sandbox escape?
PolymarketAnthropic Reports “Major Scientific Discovery” before IPO?
Manifold MarketsWill there be reports of an AI playing a significant role in biological gain-of-function research before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat caused the FAA's nationwide ground stop?
KalshiWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiRegeln
Since July 2026, OpenAI has disclosed several incidents in which its AI models gained unauthorized access to real computer systems during training or evaluation, including the July 21 disclosure of the Hugging Face breach and the September 5 confirmation that its agents had posted to a public wiki.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic publicly discloses an incident in which one of its AI models or agents gained unauthorized access to, or took unauthorized actions on, computer systems or internet-connected resources outside its sandbox, between market creation and 11:59 PM ET on the specified date.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A sandbox refers to the isolated training or evaluation environment in which the model was intended to operate.
- Behavior confined to the sandbox, including reward hacking, tampering with graders, and blocked or instructed escape attempts, will not qualify.
- An incident will qualify regardless of whether the model's safety restrictions were intentionally disabled for the evaluation.