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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. 2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

2026 June 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?

1.1% (24h)WissenschaftWeatherYearly18T
PolymarketPolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
2nd hottest
2nd hottest 86%+6.0%
Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat

44 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

203,4 €

Liquidität

9815,5 €

Mittlere Liquidität
Geld / Brief

3.3% / 7.7%

Spread

133.3%

Breiter Spread
7d-Änderung

-5.5%

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten

26. Mai 26, 23:5230. Juni 26, 0:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

2nd hottest86%

Regeln

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Polymarket
  • Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.

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Regeln

This market will resolve based on the data for the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 versus the data points available for all other Junes on record.

Polymarket
  • Note: If June 2026 is tied for first, second, or third hottest with another year, it will qualify for the bracket it ties with.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figures found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, a consensus of credible sources will be used to resolve this market.