MyriadGeschlossenEingeschränkte verifizierte DatenDieser Markt wurde entschieden: NO (98.4%)
Begrenzte Auflösungsnachweise
CoinRithm kann das aufgezeichnete Ergebnis zeigen, aber nicht jedes Auflösungsfeld ist vom Anbieter verifiziert.
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 98.4%+0.0pt
Marktqualitat
27 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1166,9 €
Liquidität
1285,3 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTraders
228
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 24 Tagen
Veraltet17. Dez. 25, 15:0931. Juli 26, 23:59
Wahrscheinlichkeitsverlauf
YES1.6%
NO98.4%
98.4%
1.6%
Regeln
**Market Dates:**
- - **Market Period:** From the publication date to July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Market Close:** July 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC. - **Resolution Time:** This market will be resolved after the Market Close, or earlier if the outcome is reached.
- **Yes/No Criteria:**
- - Resolves to **"Yes"** if both Russia and Ukraine formally agree to a complete ceasefire through an official, publicly announced agreement before or at Resolution Time.
- The agreement must mandate a total cessation of all military operations—including but not limited to ground, air, naval, and cyber warfare—across all territories involved in the conflict (e.g., Ukraine, Russian-occupied territories, and border regions).
- Additionally, the ceasefire must be bilateral, with both Russia and Ukraine explicitly committing to halting all offensive and defensive military actions against each other, and it must apply to the entire conflict zone without geographic exceptions (e.g., it cannot exclude specific regions like Donbas or Crimea). - Resolves to **"No"** if all of the above conditions are not met before the Market Period ends
