Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 51.7%
Prognostiker
74
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert29. Dez. 23, 03:05 UTC2. Jan. 30, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsProp bets: What will prediction markets do to society (add your own)
Manifold MarketsWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketRegeln
As a source of general information, not just "Manifold Markets has a market with over 2000 traders [citation: link to manifold]".
- Must be clearly accepted as a general Wikipedia policy or norm, not just one rogue editor adding one in and nobody caring enough to contest it.
- There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.
Offene Märkte
Adoption
KALSHIWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
- No91%
- Yes+5.3pt9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 159.762,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 350,7 €
KALSHIFinance AI adoption in September
- Above 73%88%
- Above 73.25%0%
- Above 73.5%0%
+6 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 172,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 172,1 €
POLYMARKETOver 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
- No98%
- Yes2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 18.097,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 47,3 €
KALSHIHealthcare AI adoption in September
- Above 43%87%
- Above 43.5%0%
- Above 43.75%0%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 43 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 43 €
POLYMARKETUS national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 52.498,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1,1 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
- No84.6%
- Yes15.4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1507,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 52% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030? entschieden?
- Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030? soll am 2. Januar 2030 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As a source of general information, not just "Manifold Markets has a market with over 2000 traders [citation: link to manifold]".