Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseGoogle 100%Führend unter 11 Optionen
Prognostiker
60
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet27. Feb. 26, 21:23 UTC31. Dez. 26, 21:19 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Insider Trading Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsTrump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill there be 5+ "thought leaders" that became so due in part to trading success on prediction markets by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsLaw banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
PolymarketWill a law restricting sports trades on prediction markets be enacted in 2026?
PredictItRegeln
A member of the listed organization must be penalized.
- The action must be a substantial action, including a fine, ban from a prediction market, termination, demotion, etc. A warning is not sufficient.
- If any other regulator such as the SEC or CFTC takes significant action, also resolves YES.
- If an exchange takes action, also resolves YES.
- If a law enforcement branch makes an legitimate indictment or arrest, resolves YES.
- The enforcement action must take place from market open to EOY 2026.
