Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseOther harms 69%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet10. März 26, 12:34 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Market Manipulation Result in Any Verified Harm Before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsAnyone indicted for insider trading or market manipulation for 4/7/25 events?
Manifold MarketsTrump admin member or their immediate family member indicted for insider trading before 2027?
Manifold MarketsJames Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
PolymarketPrince Andrew sentenced to prison?
PolymarketRegeln
The CEO of the Atlantic claimed in a recent article that "Insider Trading Is Going to Get People Killed".
- [tweet]Resolution Criteria
- The "Other" category covers any unspecified harms aside from legal, PR or related troubles suffered by the insider trader, prediction market or other predictors.
- Examples: a genuine PR challenge for an organization or person associated with the insider due to the information released, early leakage of contest results (such as at the Emmys, before the announcement on stage), and so on.
- Any event reported on in the major news media which offers reasonable justification that insider trading was causally implicated in deaths, injuries or the named outcome is sufficient.
- This market does not qualify!
