Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
0.5 Pkt. (24h)RegulierungOne-OffCommoditiesPolitikUS PoliticsWahl3Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%-0.5pt
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
6,1 €
Liquidität
7606,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
7.0% / 11.0%
Spread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
27. März 26, 18:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Kalshi offers at least one sports prediction contract in January 2027
Manifold MarketsWill Supreme Court grant certiorari in a sports prediction market case in 2026?
PredictItSports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
PolymarketWho will be caught insider trading in prediction markets?
Manifold MarketsWill Prediction Markets be banned in the US before 31 December, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich state laws will be enacted in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any bill with the effect of banning CFTC-regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts is signed into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Any bill that prohibits federally regulated prediction markets from offering sports betting contracts, or otherwise places such activities under state-level gambling regulation rather than federal regulatory oversight, will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
- Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override.
- Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC); however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.