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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Commodities
  3. Will the federal gas tax be suspended?
Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

Will the federal gas tax be suspended?

5.0% (24h)CommoditiesOne-OffPolitikUS PoliticsMacro & EconomyWahl6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Before Jan 1, 2027
Before Jan 1, 2027 33%-5.0%
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

73,7 €

Liquidität

964 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

31.0% / 34.0%

Spread

9.7%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 2 Minuten

10. Mai 26, 22:301. Jan. 27, 15:00

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Before Jan 1, 202733%

PolymarketAuch verfügbar auf Polymarket

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?

3.5%6Mon
November 2
November 2
-2.0%37%
June 30
June 30
-3.5%4%
52 • Mittlere QualitätBreiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen15.294,4 €
24h-Volumen1701,7 €
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

Regeln

If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.

Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.

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In diesen Themen aktiv

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Regeln

If legislation that would temporarily suspend or reduce the federal excise tax on gasoline has become law after Issuance and before Jul 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.
  • Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No.
  • Joint resolutions are treated as bills.
  • Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage.