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Veraltet30. Aug. 26, 17:19 UTC29. Aug. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
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Will there be a warning shot before October 20, 2026?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketBest AI in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Nate Soares and Ajeya Cotra say that the Hugging Face hack might have been our last warning shot.
- Reasons this might resolve yes:
- Nate Soares calling something else a warning shot
- Ajeya Cotra calling something else a warning shot
- Either of them say they were wrong
- Something that's "bigger" than the Hugging Face hack and contained by humans
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will we get another warning shot before August 30, 2028??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 68% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will we get another warning shot before August 30, 2028? entschieden?
- Will we get another warning shot before August 30, 2028? soll am 29. August 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will we get another warning shot before August 30, 2028? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Nate Soares and Ajeya Cotra say that the Hugging Face hack might have been our last warning shot.