Will we find a way to live forever, i.e. reverse aging and achieve biological immortality by 2046?
One-OffGesundheit & MedizinManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 70.9%
Prognostiker
96
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert4. Aug. 23, 04:21 UTC1. Jan. 47, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I live forever?
Manifold MarketsWill a senolytic drug be used clinically to slow, prevent, or reverse aging by the end of 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a way to make a profit off this market at resolve-time?
Manifold MarketsWill I find a way to archive Mojang's JIRA/Atlassian instance before it goes down? (Please make suggestions.)
Manifold MarketsHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the FDA reclassify BPC-157 to Category 1?
KalshiRegeln
Biological immortality is an absence of aging.
- Specifically it is the absence of a sustained increase in rate of mortality as a function of chronological age.
- A cell or organism that does not experience aging, or ceases to age at some point, is biologically immortal.
- Resolves YES in 2046 if we have made significant progress in this area to reliably have first instances of induced biological immortality evidenced in animal subjects and first trials in humans have commenced.
- Resolves NO in 2046 if we have found no means to induce biological immortality, animal testing is inconclusive and human trials have not commenced and are not projected to commence within the end of the year 2046.