Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 82.5%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet10. Apr. 26, 21:50 UTC10. Apr. 22, 21:50 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Mitch McConnell outlive Ben Sasse?
Manifold MarketsWill Ben Sasse be alive to see GTA6?
Manifold MarketsWill Nectome preserve at least 100 humans by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a bill curbing pharmaceutical monopolies become law?
KalshiHeidi Overton confirmed as FDA Commissioner by which date?
PolymarketWill the ACA premium tax credits be extended?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Until Labs announces a formal commitment to attempt the cryopreservation of Ben Sasse, or if there is documented evidence that Ben Sasse has entered a formal arrangement for cryopreservation services with Until Labs.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Relevant announcements would be expected via official press releases, reputable media outlets, or verified public statements from Until Labs or representatives of Ben Sasse.
- Until Labs is a biotech company focused on developing reversible cryopreservation technology, specifically targeting organ-scale applications to improve transplantation and medical care.
- The company, formerly known as Cradle Healthcare, conducts research into cryoprotectants and rewarming protocols.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 83% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse? entschieden?
- Will Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse? soll am 10. April 2222 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Until Labs preserve Ben Sasse? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria