Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 51 Minuten
Verzogert16. März 26, 16:05 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump get a third term in office?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump win a third term as president in 2028? (shenanigans allowed)
Manifold MarketsPoll says more than 50% of Republicans OK with Trump third term?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
PolymarketNext US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- A simple majority is needed in the House for impeachment.
- The market resolves YES if the House of Representatives votes to impeach Trump for a third time before January 1, 2027.
- The market resolves NO if no third impeachment vote occurs by that date.
- Resolution will be determined by official House voting records available at Congress.gov.
- Trump was impeached twice during his first term, with his second impeachment occurring a week before he left office.
