Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 92%
Prognostiker
15
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert14. Jan. 26, 02:42 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Greenland become part of the US by the end of Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWill Frederiksen/Denmark buy or acquire part of the US?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare a national emergency related to elections before the 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump declare federal Martial Law in the US before 2029 (given a 2025 presidency)?
Manifold MarketsWill France declare a state of emergency?
KalshiWill Colombia declare a state of internal commotion in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Tump has a habit of declaring things on social media that may or may not be true and may or may not happen.
- Before the end of his term, will he declare a state to not be part of the US.
- It has to be more forceful than just saying that the people in the state aren't even Americans.
- I won't bet on this market
