Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 74.6%
Prognostiker
31
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
2. Feb. 24, 23:47 UTC1. Jan. 31, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will there be a Manifold 'Manifesto' that alleges financial, sexual or other misconduct at the company by EOY 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, by means other than crypto or inheritance?
Manifold MarketsWill >10 EA who had <$100M in Feb 28 2021 become a billionaire (in 2021 dollars) by Feb 28 2031, *including* crypto or inheritance?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an official Manifold cryptocurrency by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will Avis say during their next earnings call?
KalshiCostco increases hotdog price before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
Will there be a manifold user who is either a billionaire in USD or billionaire in mana by 2030.
- This will be measured in 2024 USD so adjust for inflation in 2030.
- Official manifold accounts will not count.
- Any profit or balance manipulation will still count for this market even if it is only for a short amount of time.