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Veraltet20. Juni 24, 20:11 UTC30. Juni 27, 05:59 UTC
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SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14
PolymarketWill the next Starliner crewed flight be a complete Success?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 14 happen?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Starship flight 15 happen?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill SpaceX test its HLS before 2027?
KalshiRegeln
There are not currently plans for such a test.
- However, the Boe-CFT Crewed Flight Test has experienced problems, and there is speculation about another test flight before the first operational flight Starliner-1.
- Will such a flight happen?
- [tweet]Update 2025-11-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If there is an uncrewed "operational" flight named Starliner-1, this market will resolve No, even if it functions as another test flight in practice.
- The key criterion is whether the flight occurs before the Starliner-1 flight (by name), not whether it's operationally a test.
- If the resolution becomes unclear, the creator will seek an uninvolved second opinion.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 103.065,4 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 57.371,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 57.371,5 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.857 €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 97% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? entschieden?
- Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be another Starliner flight test before the Starliner-1 flight? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: There are not currently plans for such a test.