Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

One-OffGesundheit & Medizin

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Warnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt

Daten vom 26.10.2026, 05:51 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Ja 50.5%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden

Veraltet

11. Juli 23, 23:35 UTC31. Dez. 00, 22:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

Most cells' karyotypes (excluding neuronal cells) would have to be changeable from XX to XY or vice versa after any required amount of time, as long as it lies within the human lifespan of that time.

If only one way is achieved, the market resolves 50%.
If it is achieved only for a non-human mammal, the market resolves 20% (resp. 10%).

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

Will there be a genetic engineering method capable of changing an adult's chromosomal sex by 2100?

Offene Märkte

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Pandemic in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

Häufige Fragen

Diesen Markt im Code oder in einem KI-Agenten nutzen

Offene Märkte

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Will the FDA approve any psychedelic substance for medical use this year?

How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?

Will a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?

Pandemic in 2026?

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?