Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 55.5%
Prognostiker
22
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet24. Dez. 23, 00:28 UTC1. März 55, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Jupiter, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.
- For the purpose of this market, a flyby of Jupiter must occur within a distance of no more than 10 million kilometers from the planet.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-j-108243356386
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-j-d94ab8bbb580
- @/RemNiFHfMN/will-there-be-a-crewed-mission-to-j-89a5bfdee8ca
Offene Märkte
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+2.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.4pt9%
- Google-0.7pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 89.717,7 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No55%
- Yes45%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 101.876,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 26.193,4 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-0.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+0.5pt16.7%
- Google+0.5pt7.8%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-39.0pt41.5%
- Above 9-29.0pt34.1%
- Above 10-4.0pt10.6%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,+0.5pt47%
- June 30,+2.0pt41%
- February 28,27%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.6pt6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 817.527 €
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- Third-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
- How many launches will SpaceX have in 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 56% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055? entschieden?
- Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055? soll am 1. März 2055 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will there be a crewed mission to Jupiter before 2055? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to YES if a spacecraft completes a flyby of Jupiter, or achieves orbital insertion, with at least one live human on board before January 1st, 2055.