Will the world be more religious on 21st April 2029 than on 21st April 2024?
One-OffReligionGesellschaft & Kultur2JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 72%
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Veraltet21. Apr. 24, 16:53 UTC21. Apr. 29, 22:59 UTC
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According to the statistics I could find, around 84% of people globally are religious on 21st April 2024.
- This market resolves to “yes” if the mainstream statistics I can find suggest that more than 84% of people globally are religious on April 21st 2029.
- “No” of fewer than 84% of people globally are religious on that date.
- “N/a” if reliable statistics cannot be found or if they disagree with each other as to whether religiosity has increased or decreased.
- I will not bet on this market to avoid motivated reasoning.
