Aktuelle Community-Prognose
No, less than half ballroom etc. 58%
Prognostiker
53
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet26. Okt. 25, 18:21 UTC20. Jan. 29, 17:47 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
White House ballroom completed before the end of Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiWill Congress pass legislation explicitly authorizing or funding the White House Ballroom project by Jan 3, 2027?
Manifold MarketsManifold will agree the new White House Ballroom is tacky
Manifold MarketsWhat will the White House Press Secretary say in their next press briefing?
KalshiWhen will Trump announce a new White House Press Secretary?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves at the end of Trump's term, 20 January 2029.
- President Donald Trump has begun work on his proposed ballroom in place of the White House’s former East Wing.
- As of 26 October 2025 only basic visualisations have been published and there has been no public scrutiny of the plans.
- Is it really going to be a ballroom, or something else?
- If the finished structure uses more than half of its floorspace for a ballroom and supporting services I will resolve YES.
- If the finished structure uses less than half of its floorspace for a ballroom and supporting services, and therefore more than half for other as-yet undeclared purposes I will resolve NO.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No, less than half ballroom etc. mit 58% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom? entschieden?
- Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom? soll am 20. Januar 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves at the end of Trump's term, 20 January 2029.