Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 26.10.2026, 11:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 57.2%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet23. Okt. 25, 02:43 UTC20. Jan. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the White House Ballroom really be a ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWill SCOTUS end the White House ballroom injunction?
KalshiIn what month will the first event be hosted in Trump's new White House Ballroom?
Manifold MarketsFirst event in new White House ballroom?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen during Trump's second term?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump's ballroom be completed?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves to "Yes" if the White House ballroom announced on the site of the East Wing of the White House is completed by the end of Donald Trump's second term as the President of the United States.
- The ballroom will be considered complete only if both of the following occur:
- An official announcement by the White House of the project's completion and/or official opening
- Construction on the building is completed or no longer ongoing according to reports by major media -- so if the ballroom is "officially opened" while some segments of construction still being finished that will not count until the construction is finished.
- President Trump's second term will be considered to have ended on January 20, 2029, or if Trump leaves office for any reason before then due to resignation, removal, or death.
