Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 86.3%
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Veraltet21. Feb. 26, 17:47 UTC20. Jan. 27, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Contingent on AI being perceived as a threat, will humans deliberately cause an AI winter before 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
PolymarketWill there be nationwide price controls or rationing of consumer goods by 2027?
Manifold MarketsGas exceeds $4.50, and democrats control both House and Senate?
Manifold MarketsUS Average Gas Price Is $4.100 or more on Election Day 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the stock market crash if the Republicans win the midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
The Corruption Perception Index (CPI) scores and ranks 182 countries on "public-sector corruption perceived by experts and businesspeople".
- Transparency International updates the CPI at the end of January each year.
- In 2025, the United States scored 64 out of 100, a worsening in corruption by 1 point compared to 2024.
- This question resolves YES if the US has a worse score on the CPI for 2026 (i.e. -1 or worse reduction in score), and resolves NO if they stay the same or improve.
