Will "The Spectre haunting the "AI Safety" Community" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will "The Spectre haunting the "AI Safety" Community" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 85.1% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

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Will "The Spectre haunting the "AI Safety" Community" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review? soll am 1. Februar 2028 entschieden werden.

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Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google-3.9pt85.9%
• Anthropic+4.4pt13.1%
• OpenAI+0.5pt1%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Gesamtvolumen

3,2 Mio. €

24h-Volumen

130.208,5 €

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt29.8%
• $1.5–$1.75T+1.1pt19.2%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.3pt18.3%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+6.1pt56.5%
• Gemini-7.4pt30.6%
• ChatGPT-0.9pt

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 202792.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 2027+2.0pt88.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+6.5pt84%
• December 15,+8.5pt82%
• November 30,-7.0pt57%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Anthropic+4.0pt55.1%
• Google-5.0pt36.7%
• OpenAI-0.1pt6.1%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
• OpenRouter AI token usage in October
• Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• DeepSeek market share this week
• OpenAI market share this week
• Best AI this week
• GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Top coding AI this month (Arena.ai)