Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 75%
Ja 75%Prognostiker
29
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 55 Minuten
Verzogert31. Juli 24, 02:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Samuel Alito leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Clarence Thomas leave Supreme Court in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027?
Manifold MarketsNext Justice to leave the US Supreme Court
FutuurWill a liberal justice leave the Supreme Court during Trump's presidential term?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
