Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PolitikOne-OffUS PoliticsWahl3Mon
Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 79.9%
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28
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Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet31. Juli 24, 02:04 UTC1. Jan. 27, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 80% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? entschieden?
- Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.