Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 90.5%
Prognostiker
35
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 59 Minuten
Verzogert24. Dez. 24, 04:50 UTC3. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolves if any justice on the Supreme Court as of 12/23/24 is not on the Supreme Court as of 1/1/2027.
Offene Märkte
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 695.731,8 €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 24,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 294.676,9 €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 54,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 291.319,2 €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027? entschieden?
- Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027? soll am 3. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves if any justice on the Supreme Court as of 12/23/24 is not on the Supreme Court as of 1/1/2027.