Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 71%
Prognostiker
34
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet10. Juli 24, 15:40 UTC4. Juli 29, 22:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?
Manifold MarketsWill Reform UK and the Conservative Party merge before the next General Election, OR 15 August 2029?
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PolymarketIn what year will the next UK general election be held?
KalshiRegeln
Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.
- (AI summary of creator comment)
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? entschieden?
- Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? soll am 4. Juli 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Update 2024-16-12 (PST): This market refers to Kemi Badenoch, who won the Conservative Party leadership election, and whether she will remain leader until the next general election.