If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

PolitikOne-OffWahl Europe2J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nigel Farage 45%

Führend unter 11 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

0.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet

16. Juli 24, 18:49 UTC17. Aug. 29, 06:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

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If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

Manifold Markets

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Manifold Markets

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Manifold Markets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Boris Johnson

Smarkets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch

Smarkets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Robert Jenrick

Smarkets

Regeln

The next UK general election is scheduled for no later than the 15th August 2029.

Following the huge defeat of the Conservative Party giving Labour a majority of 174 seats following the 2024 election, the Conservatives are holding a leadership election to find a successor to Rishi Sunak.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

PolitikOne-OffWahl Europe2J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nigel Farage 45%

Führend unter 11 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

7d-Änderung

0.0 pts

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden

Veraltet

16. Juli 24, 18:49 UTC17. Aug. 29, 06:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

If this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?

Manifold Markets

Will the next elected leader of the Conservative Party be their leader by the time the next general election is held?

Manifold Markets

Who will be the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK general election?

Manifold Markets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Boris Johnson

Smarkets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Kemi Badenoch

Smarkets

Next General Election Conservative Leader - Robert Jenrick

Smarkets

Regeln

The next UK general election is scheduled for no later than the 15th August 2029.

Following the huge defeat of the Conservative Party giving Labour a majority of 174 seats following the 2024 election, the Conservatives are holding a leadership election to find a successor to Rishi Sunak.

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative??: Manifold Markets bewertet Nigel Farage mit 45% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative? entschieden?: If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative? soll am 17. August 2029 entschieden werden.
Wie wird If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The next UK general election is scheduled for no later than the 15th August 2029.

If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

If this person is the leader of the Conservative Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Conservative?

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