Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety??

Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

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Aktualisiert vor 31 Minuten

30. Dez. 23, 17:44 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC

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The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.

Should that happen, it is likely that a precedent will be set that prevents other companies from including articles from any newspaper in their training data.
At the same time, it will be impossible to enforce such a provision against open source models, some of which will have anonymous authors.
Effective altruists like @EliezerYudkowsky have often criticized open source AI as dangerous and believe that limitations on the distribution of model architectures and weights are preferable.
This market resolves to YES if:
The lawsuit is decided in the New York Times' favor, either by judgment or by settlement

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

KIOne-OffCrime & Justice3Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 90.9%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 31 Minuten

30. Dez. 23, 17:44 UTC2. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Regeln

The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.

Should that happen, it is likely that a precedent will be set that prevents other companies from including articles from any newspaper in their training data.
At the same time, it will be impossible to enforce such a provision against open source models, some of which will have anonymous authors.
Effective altruists like @EliezerYudkowsky have often criticized open source AI as dangerous and believe that limitations on the distribution of model architectures and weights are preferable.
This market resolves to YES if:
The lawsuit is decided in the New York Times' favor, either by judgment or by settlement

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

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Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety??: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 91% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? entschieden?: Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
Wie wird Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The New York Times, in its lawsuit against OpenAI, seeks the deletion of all language models trained with data that includes any Times articles.

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

Will the New York Times v. OpenAI suit cause a setback for AI safety?

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