Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 50.2%
Prognostiker
6
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 54 Minuten
Verzogert6. Mai 25, 15:08 UTC30. März 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
The current German government of CDU/CSU and SPD dissolves prior to February 2029 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?
PolymarketWill the German AfD be part of a ruling coalition on state (Bundesland) level by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWIll AfD be part of a federal governing coalition in Germany by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
PolymarketNext French Presidential Election
PolymarketRegeln
Resolves yes if the next german election does not take place before January 2029.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 50% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029? entschieden?
- Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029? soll am 30. März 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the new the new coalition of CDU/CSU/SPD govern until the end of the term in spring 2029? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves yes if the next german election does not take place before January 2029.