Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 94.4%
Prognostiker
30
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 58 Minuten
Verzogert9. Jan. 26, 23:05 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the current wave of Iranian protests be suppressed by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Iranian protests end?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
PolymarketUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by which date?
PolymarketKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market resolves YES if, as of December 31, 2026, all of the following conditions are met:
- - The current wave of protests (beginning December 28, 2025) has substantially subsided
- - The Islamic Republic system of government remains intact
- - Cumulative protester deaths reached or exceeded 1,500 according to credible sources (Amnesty International, Iran Human Rights, HRANA, or Reuters)
- Resolves NO if:
- - The Islamic Republic fell or underwent fundamental constitutional change, OR
