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  1. Prognosemärkte
  2. Inflation
  3. Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?
Manifold Markets

Will the inflation rate reach or exceed X at any point during 2026?

Inflation7Mon
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsKein KYC
Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0% 100%
Führend unter 9 Optionen
Prognostiker

18

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten

20. Nov. 25, 18:291. Feb. 27, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.0%
100%
Manifold Markets
y ≥ 2.5%
100%

Gewähltes Ergebnis

y ≥ 4.5%57%

Regeln

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.

Makro-Sensible Assets

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Verwandte Märkte

How high will inflation get in 2026?

How high will inflation get in 2026?

22.850,1 €
Above 4%: 100%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - June 2026

9026,6 €
40.0–42.9: 34%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

Producer Price Index (PPI) YoY - May 2026

6199,5 €
6.0%–6.9%: 91%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
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Will Argentina's year-over-year inflation be below 18% for December 2026?

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Who will be the first trillionaire?

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CPI in June

CPI in June

225,9 €
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Regeln

Will the inflation rate, denoted y, reach or exceed the value listed in each option at any point during the 2026? I will use the unadjusted 12 month rate reported by BLS as the official source, which is typically released on a monthly basis for the proceeding month.

Manifold Markets
  • If the option with the highest rate reaches or exceeds 40%, I will add a new option that is .50 percentage points higher to ensure sufficient granularity.
  • Because of the timeline we are on, the inflation report for a given month might be published late or not at all.
  • Please adjust your prices accordingly.
  • Late publications will qualify as long as they are published by the market end date of 02-01-2027.
  • If no reports are published during the entire period, the market will resolve to NA for each option.