Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 77%
Prognostiker
11
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Stunden
Veraltet7. Apr. 26, 06:36 UTC31. Dez. 99, 07:28 UTC
Trends
Makro-Sensible Assets
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the inflation rate in the US reach 6% before it reaches 0%?
Manifold MarketsTrump/US reaches a deal with Denmark to sell Greenland in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the inflation rate in the US reach 6% between the 2024 and 2028 presidential elections?
Manifold MarketsBrazil inflation rate in August
KalshiArgentina inflation rate MoM for August
KalshiUS annual inflation rate (CPI) at the end of 2026?
FutuurRegeln
Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.
- Resolves NO if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 2% or lower.
- The yearly inflation rate refers to the consumer price index (CPI) inflation rate as announced on the US Bureau of Labor Statistics website.
- https://www.bls.gov/cpi/
- This market will resolve as soon either the 2% or 4% threshold is crossed per an official announcement.
- I will not wait for corrections which could possibly invalidate the resolution and will not change the resolution should that happen.
Offene Märkte
Inflation
POLYMARKETFed Decision in September?
- 25 bps increase+3.0pt52.5%
- No change-3.0pt46.5%
- 50+ bps increase1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 89,5 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHICPI in August
- Above -0.3%99%
- Above -0.1%99%
- Above 0.0%99%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 323.760,3 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 25.329 €
KALSHIInflation in August 2026 (CPI YoY)
- Above 2.5%99%
- Above 2.6%99%
- Above 2.8%99%
+23 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 523.015,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 22.025,7 €
POLYMARKETFed rate hike by which date?
- October Meeting+1.0pt54.3%
- September Meeting+3.0pt45.7%
- April Meeting-0.1pt0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
- 1.5-1.7%-9.9pt68.8%
- 1.8-2.0%+8.2pt26%
- 1.2-1.4%-3.0pt3.1%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIWill the Citrini scenario happen?
- No83%
- Yes17%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,3 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 4356,6 €
- August Inflation US - Annual
- Core CPI MoM - August 2026
- August Inflation US - Monthly
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)
- Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Core PCE YoY - August 2026
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.4% in August 2026?
- Will the year-over-year change in the US Core CPI exceed 2.2% in August 2026?
- Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)
- Egg prices up in August?
Zugehörige Kryptos
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? entschieden?
- Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? soll am 31. Dezember 2999 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the inflation rate in the US reach 4% before it reaches 2%? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if on any given month, the yearly inflation rate is announced to be 4% or higher.