Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 75.5%
Prognostiker
14
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet13. Nov. 24, 07:31 UTC31. Dez. 50, 18:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Trading will be extended until the first crewed mars mission will happen The mission's goals must involve at least getting into Mars' orbit (flybys won't count) Mission abortion can be defined as a "partial failure" or inability to complete any single important milestone of the mission (e.g. a decision to not land on Mars if the initial mission involved crewed landing).
- Apollo 13 would count as a mission abortion Loss of life or mission abortion can happen on any stage of the mission
- Update 2025-07-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that reaching Mars orbit is defined as a successful insertion burn.
Offene Märkte
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 76% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit? entschieden?
- Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit? soll am 31. Dezember 2050 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Trading will be extended until the first crewed mars mission will happen The mission's goals must involve at least getting into Mars' orbit (flybys won't count) Mission abortion can be defined as a "partial failure" or inability to complete any single important milestone of the mission (e.g. a decision to not land on Mars if the initial mission involved crewed landing).