Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Ja 67%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet1. Mai 24, 23:11 UTC1. Jan. 00, 22:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the first crewed Mars mission result in a loss of at least 1 life or mission abortion before reaching Mars orbit?
Manifold MarketsCalifornia HSR operational between San Francisco and LA before Mars landing?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the first Mars landing occur?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
PolymarketWill a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit?
KalshiAST SpaceMobile BlueBird satellites in orbit above __ in Q4 2026?
LimitlessRegeln
If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.
- Phobos/Deimos landing missions also count as landing missions.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 67% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? entschieden?
- Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? soll am 1. Januar 2100 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will a crewed Mars flyby or Mars orbit mission be attempted before a crewed Mars landing mission? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If it's a Mars landing mission and they orbit/do a flyby just because something fails and the plan changes mid-mission, it still counts as a landing mission.