Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 84.2%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet10. Sept. 26, 12:39 UTC31. Dez. 30, 10:40 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the AfD control chancellorship before 2050?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen to Germany if AfD controlled Chancellorship before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill AfD chancellorship make Germany go back to 1933 era before 2050?
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PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if, at any point prior to January 1, 2031, an active member of the Alternative for Germany (AfD) party is officially appointed as the Federal Chancellor of Germany (Bundeskanzler/in) under the German Basic Law (Grundgesetz).
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- Key Details & Edge Cases:
- The chancellor must be a registered member of the AfD at the time of taking office.
- An independent or member of another party supported by an AfD coalition does not satisfy this condition.
