Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 81.4%
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Stunden
Veraltet22. Aug. 26, 22:07 UTC15. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
How many hurricanes will form during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?
PolymarketWhat month will be most active in the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season?
Manifold MarketsWhich storm names used in the 2026 North Atlantic Hurricane Season?
Manifold MarketsHow active will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season be?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?
PolymarketWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.
- RESOLUTION SOURCE: National Hurricane Center (nhc.noaa.gov) — public advisories and the NHC 2026 Atlantic season archive.
- A storm counts once it is carried at hurricane intensity (maximum sustained winds >= 64 kt / 74 mph) in an NHC advisory or in the post-season Tropical Cyclone Report.
- Subtropical storms do not count unless NHC classifies them at hurricane intensity.
- Eastern Pacific and Central Pacific storms do not count.
- Each named storm counts at most once, regardless of how many times it strengthens.
Offene Märkte
SpacePOLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+0.5pt89.9%
- OpenAI-1.6pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 131.460,9 €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No60.4%
- Yes39.6%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 103.607,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 27.913,7 €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
- Anthropic-1.5pt72.5%
- OpenAI+2.0pt18.6%
- Google-1.4pt5.9%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-8.0pt82%
- Above 9-49.0pt22%
- Above 10-20.0pt14%
+8 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETTesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- December 31,47%
- June 30,41%
- February 28,27%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 996.112,6 €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.3pt59.6%
- SpaceX+0.5pt38.4%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- AI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers
- SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
- Two SpaceX Starships dock together by which date?
- What will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit in September 2026?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15??
- Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 81% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? entschieden?
- Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? soll am 15. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season produce at least 3 hurricanes by October 15? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves YES if the National Hurricane Center has designated at least THREE (3) distinct Atlantic basin tropical cyclones as hurricanes during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season, with the hurricane designation issued at or before 23:59 UTC on October 15, 2026.