Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Nein 75.8%
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Stunden
Veraltet5. Okt. 25, 02:29 UTC30. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?
PolymarketSanae Takaichi announces departure as Prime Minister of Japan?
KalshiHow long will Sanae Takaichi be the prime minister of Japan? (She assumed office on October 21st, 2025.)
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiWho will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after next election?
LimitlessWill Netanyahu still be the prime minister of Israel at the end of October 7th 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if Takaichi Sanae, while serving as Prime Minister of Japan, makes an in-person visit to Yasukuni Shrine (Chiyoda, Tokyo) on any date during her premiership.
- Verification may come from the Prime Minister’s Office (Kantei) site/schedule or clear reports by at least two major outlets (e.g., NHK, Kyodo, Reuters, Asahi, Yomiuri, Japan Times).
- (japan.kantei.go.jp)
- Sending a ritual offering (tamagushi/masakaki), a proxy visit by an aide, or visits immediately before/after her term do NOT count.
- A “private capacity” visit counts only if later confirmed by Kantei or two major outlets with on-the-record reporting or photos.