Will SCOTUS rule that gender identity is not a protected class before 2028?
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Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 21:13 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 72.2%
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet30. Apr. 24, 00:12 UTC1. Jan. 28, 04:59 UTC
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Will SCOTUS rule for DHS on third-country deportations?
KalshiWill the Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill the 11th Circuit rule non-intervened False Claims Act qui tam suits unconstitutional?
KalshiWill the Supreme Court decide that sports event contracts are protected under the Commodities Exchange Act? [1k subsidy]
Manifold MarketsWhich of the Third Circuit Judges will rule in Kalshi's favor?
Manifold MarketsWill the Supreme Court rule on PredictIt vs. CFTC before 2026?
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[tweet]This resolves Yes in the event that SCOTUS strikes down the circuit court’s ruling.
- It resolves No if the supremes uphold or remand the case.
- It could resolve to a percent if there is a peculiar partial agreement that carves out some constitutional protections but not others.
- This market can resolve based on the above case’s lineage, or any very similar case with the same implications.
